Question
Question: Two dice are thrown. What is the probability that the sum of the numbers appearing on the two dice i...
Two dice are thrown. What is the probability that the sum of the numbers appearing on the two dice is 11, if 5 appears on the first
- 361
- 61
- 65
- None of these
Solution
First we have to write all the outcomes that we may get on rolling two dice together. Then we are to find the outcomes that have 5 as an outcome on the first dice, and simultaneously find the probability of the event that 5 occurs on the first dice. Then, we are to find the outcomes, in which the sum of the numbers on the two dice is 11 with 5 on the first dice. And, also the probability of the event that sum of numbers on dice is 11 with 5 on the first dice. Then, we are to use the formula of conditional probability to find the probability that the sum of the numbers appearing on the two dice is 11, if 5 appears on the first dice. The formula of conditional probability is, if A and B are two events, then,
P(AB)=P(A)P(A∩B).
Complete step-by-step solution:
Given, two dice are thrown together, then the outcomes are,
Outcomes on each dice | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | (1,1) | (1,2) | (1,3) | (1,4) | (1,5) | (1,6) |
2 | (2,1) | (2,2) | (2,3) | (2,4) | (2,5) | (2,6) |
3 | (3,1) | (3,2) | (3,3) | (3,4) | (3,5) | (3,6) |
4 | (4,1) | (4,2) | (4,3) | (4,4) | (4,5) | (4,6) |
5 | (5,1) | (5,2) | (5,3) | (5,4) | (5,5) | (5,6) |
6 | (6,1) | (6,2) | (6,3) | (6,4) | (6,5) | (6,6) |
The total number of outcomes of the event =36
Let A be the event that the first dice contains 5.
Therefore, the suitable outcomes are, A=(5,1),(5,2),(5,3),(5,4),(5,5),(5,6)
Probability of A, that the first dice contains 5, P(A)=366
Let B be the event that the sum of the numbers appearing on the dice is 11.
Therefore, the suitable outcomes are, B=(5,6),(6,5)
Now, the outcome common to both A and B, A∩B=(5,6).
The probability of the event that the sum of the numbers is 11, with 5 on the first dice, P(A∩B)=361
Now, the formula of conditional probability, that is,
P(AB)=P(A)P(A∩B).
Therefore, the probability that the sum of the numbers appearing on the two dice is 11, if 5 appears on the first dice P(AB)=P(A)P(A∩B)
Substituting the values, we get,
⇒P(AB)=366361
⇒P(AB)=61
Therefore, the probability that the sum of the numbers appearing on the two dice is 11, if 5 appears on the first dice is 61, the correct option is 2.
Note: Many can do the mistake here by finding the probability as P(A∩B), but it will be just an outcome of the event, but here we are given that we are to find the probability of sum of numbers on dice is 11, given the condition that, on the first dice the number that appeared is 5. Hence, a condition was already given, so, we have used conditional probability. We should be careful while handling calculative steps.