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Question

Mathematics Question on Conditional Probability

Three cards drawn successively, without replacement from a pack of 5252 well shuffled cards, then the probability that first two cards are kings and the third card drawn is an ace, is

A

25525 \frac{2}{5525}

B

15525 \frac{1}{5525}

C

25527\frac{2}{5527}

D

15527\frac{1}{5527}

Answer

25525 \frac{2}{5525}

Explanation

Solution

Let KK denote the event that the card drawn is king and AA be the event that the card drawn is an ace. Clearly, we have to find P(KKA)P(KKA). Now, P(K)=452P(K) = \frac{4}{52} Also, P(KK)P(K|K) is the probability of second king with the condition that one king has already been drawn. P(KK)=351\therefore P(K|K) = \frac{3}{51} Lastly, P(AKK)P(A|KK) is the probability of third drawn card to be an ace, with the condition that two kings have already been drawn. P(AKK)=450\therefore P(A|KK) = \frac{4}{50} By multiplication law of probability, we have P(KKA)=P(K).P(KK).P(AKK)P(KKA) = P(K) . P(K|K). P(A|KK) =452×351×450=\frac{4}{52} \times \frac{3}{51} \times \frac{4}{50} =25525= \frac{2}{5525}