Question
Mathematics Question on Conditional Probability
Three cards drawn successively, without replacement from a pack of 52 well shuffled cards, then the probability that first two cards are kings and the third card drawn is an ace, is
A
55252
B
55251
C
55272
D
55271
Answer
55252
Explanation
Solution
Let K denote the event that the card drawn is king and A be the event that the card drawn is an ace. Clearly, we have to find P(KKA). Now, P(K)=524 Also, P(K∣K) is the probability of second king with the condition that one king has already been drawn. ∴P(K∣K)=513 Lastly, P(A∣KK) is the probability of third drawn card to be an ace, with the condition that two kings have already been drawn. ∴P(A∣KK)=504 By multiplication law of probability, we have P(KKA)=P(K).P(K∣K).P(A∣KK) =524×513×504 =55252