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Question: There are three clubs \(A,B,C\) in a town with \(40,50,60\) members respectively. Ten people are mem...

There are three clubs A,B,CA,B,C in a town with 40,50,6040,50,60 members respectively. Ten people are members of all the three clubs. 7070 members belong to only one club. A member is randomly selected. Find the probability that he has membership of exactly two clubs.

Explanation

Solution

We can solve this problem using set theory and probability. We can analyse the given data and express it using a venn diagram. Then we can solve for the favourable number. Using favourable number and total number we get the probability.

Formula used:
Probability of an event is obtained by dividing favourable number of outcomes by total number of outcomes.

Complete step-by-step answer:
Given A,B,CA,B,C clubs have members 40,50,6040,50,60 respectively.
Let it be n(A),n(B),n(C)n(A),n(B),n(C).
n(A)=40,n(B)=50,n(C)=60\Rightarrow n(A) = 40,n(B) = 50,n(C) = 60
Also given ten people are members of all the three clubs.
n(ABC)=10\Rightarrow n(A \cap B \cap C) = 10
Also we have, 7070 members belong to only one club.
We can use a Venn diagram to express these data.

Here the three circles represent clubs A,B,CA,B,C.
The small letters represent the number of members in each section.
Since we have 7070 members belong to only one club, we can write
a+b+c=70(i)a + b + c = 70 - - - (i)
Also we get from the diagram,
n(A)=a+d+f+10,n(B)=b+d+e+10,n(C)=c+e+f+10\Rightarrow n(A) = a + d + f + 10,n(B) = b + d + e + 10,n(C) = c + e + f + 10
Substituting we get,
a+d+f+10=40a + d + f + 10 = 40
b+d+e+10=50b + d + e + 10 = 50
c+e+f+10=60c + e + f + 10 = 60
Simplifying we get,
a+d+f=30a + d + f = 30
b+d+e=40b + d + e = 40
c+e+f=50c + e + f = 50
Adding these three equations we get,
a+d+f+b+d+e+c+e+f=30+40+50a + d + f + b + d + e + c + e + f = 30 + 40 + 50
a+b+c+2(d+e+f)=120(ii)\Rightarrow a + b + c + 2(d + e + f) = 120 - - - (ii)
But from (i)(i) we have, a+b+c=70a + b + c = 70
Substituting we get,
70+2(d+e+f)=120\Rightarrow 70 + 2(d + e + f) = 120
Subtracting 7070 from both sides we get,
70+2(d+e+f)70=12070\Rightarrow 70 + 2(d + e + f) - 70 = 120 - 70
2(d+e+f)=50\Rightarrow 2(d + e + f) = 50
Dividing both sides by 22 we get,
22(d+e+f)=502\Rightarrow \dfrac{2}{2}(d + e + f) = \dfrac{{50}}{2}
Simplifying we get,
d+e+f=25(iii)\Rightarrow d + e + f = 25 - - - (iii)
We can see from the diagram that this number represents the number of members exactly belong to two clubs,
So the favourable number here is d+e+f=25d + e + f = 25
At the same time total number is represented by the sum a+b+c+d+e+f+10a + b + c + d + e + f + 10
From (i),(iii)(i),(iii) we have, a+b+c+d+e+f+10=70+25+10=105a + b + c + d + e + f + 10 = 70 + 25 + 10 = 105
Total number of persons = 105\Rightarrow {\text{Total number of persons = 105}}
Now the probability is a favourable number divided by total number.
So we have probability=25105probability = \dfrac{{25}}{{105}}
Cancelling 55 from the numerator and denominator we get the required probability as 521\dfrac{5}{{21}}.
Therefore, the probability of members belong to exactly two clubs is 521\dfrac{5}{{21}}.

Note: Here it is important to interpret the given data. Using the diagram we could express the data and identify the required one. So we could easily calculate the probability.