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Question: There are 4 defective items in a lot consisting of 10 items. From this lot we select 5 items at rand...

There are 4 defective items in a lot consisting of 10 items. From this lot we select 5 items at random. The probability that there will be 2 defective items among them is

A

12\frac{1}{2}

B

25\frac{2}{5}

C

521\frac{5}{21}

D

1021\frac{10}{21}

Answer

1021\frac{10}{21}

Explanation

Solution

Total number of items = 10
Number of defective items = 4
Number of non-defective items = 10 - 4 = 6

We select 5 items at random from the lot of 10 items.
Total number of ways to select 5 items from 10 = (105)\binom{10}{5}.

We are interested in the probability that there will be exactly 2 defective items among the 5 selected items.
If there are exactly 2 defective items among the 5 selected, then the remaining 52=35 - 2 = 3 items must be non-defective.

Number of ways to select 2 defective items from the 4 defective items = (42)\binom{4}{2}.
Number of ways to select 3 non-defective items from the 6 non-defective items = (63)\binom{6}{3}.

The number of ways to select exactly 2 defective items and exactly 3 non-defective items is the product of the number of ways to select each type of item:
Number of favorable outcomes = (42)×(63)\binom{4}{2} \times \binom{6}{3}.

The probability of selecting exactly 2 defective items among the 5 selected items is the ratio of the number of favorable outcomes to the total number of outcomes:
Probability = Number of favorable outcomesTotal number of outcomes=(42)×(63)(105)=6×20252=120252=1021\frac{\text{Number of favorable outcomes}}{\text{Total number of outcomes}} = \frac{\binom{4}{2} \times \binom{6}{3}}{\binom{10}{5}} = \frac{6 \times 20}{252} = \frac{120}{252} = \frac{10}{21}.