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Question

Mathematics Question on Probability

PP speaks truth in 70%70\% cases and QQ speaks in 80%80\% of the cases. In what percentage of cases are they likely to contradict each other in stating the same fact?

A

25%25\%

B

38%38\%

C

42%42\%

D

48%48\%

Answer

38%38\%

Explanation

Solution

PP (PP speaks truth) =70%=0.7=70\%=0.7
PP (QQ speaks truth) =80%=0.8=80\%=0.8
P(Pˉ)=1P(P)=0.3\therefore P\left(\bar{P}\right)=1-P\left(P\right)=0.3
and P(Qˉ)=1P(Q)=0.2P\left(\bar{Q}\right)=1-P\left(Q\right)=0.2
Required probability =P(P)P(Qˉ)+P(Pˉ)P(Q)=P\left(P\right)P\left(\bar{Q}\right)+P\left(\bar{P}\right)P\left(Q\right)
=0.7×0.2+0.3×0.8=0.7\times0.2+0.3\times0.8
=0.14+0.24=0.38=0.14+0.24=0.38
=38%=38\%
Thus, in 38%38\% cases they are likely to contradict each other in stating the same fact