Question
Mathematics Question on Probability
P speaks truth in 70% cases and Q speaks in 80% of the cases. In what percentage of cases are they likely to contradict each other in stating the same fact?
A
25%
B
38%
C
42%
D
48%
Answer
38%
Explanation
Solution
P (P speaks truth) =70%=0.7
P (Q speaks truth) =80%=0.8
∴P(Pˉ)=1−P(P)=0.3
and P(Qˉ)=1−P(Q)=0.2
Required probability =P(P)P(Qˉ)+P(Pˉ)P(Q)
=0.7×0.2+0.3×0.8
=0.14+0.24=0.38
=38%
Thus, in 38% cases they are likely to contradict each other in stating the same fact