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Question: One bag contains 3 white and 2 black balls, another bag contains 5 white and 3 black balls. If a bag...

One bag contains 3 white and 2 black balls, another bag contains 5 white and 3 black balls. If a bag is chosen at random and a ball is drawn from it, what is the chance that it is white?

A

3/5

B

5/8

C

49/80

D

1/2

Answer

49/80

Explanation

Solution

Let B1B_1 be the event that the first bag is chosen, and B2B_2 be the event that the second bag is chosen. Let WW be the event that a white ball is drawn.

The first bag contains 3 white and 2 black balls, so there are a total of 3+2=53 + 2 = 5 balls. The second bag contains 5 white and 3 black balls, so there are a total of 5+3=85 + 3 = 8 balls.

Since a bag is chosen at random, the probability of choosing either bag is equal: P(B1)=12P(B_1) = \frac{1}{2} P(B2)=12P(B_2) = \frac{1}{2}

The probability of drawing a white ball given that the first bag was chosen is: P(WB1)=Number of white balls in Bag 1Total balls in Bag 1=35P(W|B_1) = \frac{\text{Number of white balls in Bag 1}}{\text{Total balls in Bag 1}} = \frac{3}{5}

The probability of drawing a white ball given that the second bag was chosen is: P(WB2)=Number of white balls in Bag 2Total balls in Bag 2=58P(W|B_2) = \frac{\text{Number of white balls in Bag 2}}{\text{Total balls in Bag 2}} = \frac{5}{8}

Using the Law of Total Probability, the overall probability of drawing a white ball is given by: P(W)=P(WB1)P(B1)+P(WB2)P(B2)P(W) = P(W|B_1)P(B_1) + P(W|B_2)P(B_2)

Substituting the values: P(W)=(35)×(12)+(58)×(12)P(W) = \left(\frac{3}{5}\right) \times \left(\frac{1}{2}\right) + \left(\frac{5}{8}\right) \times \left(\frac{1}{2}\right) P(W)=310+516P(W) = \frac{3}{10} + \frac{5}{16}

To add these fractions, we find a common denominator, which is 80: P(W)=3×810×8+5×516×5P(W) = \frac{3 \times 8}{10 \times 8} + \frac{5 \times 5}{16 \times 5} P(W)=2480+2580P(W) = \frac{24}{80} + \frac{25}{80} P(W)=24+2580P(W) = \frac{24 + 25}{80} P(W)=4980P(W) = \frac{49}{80}