Question
Question: One bag contains 3 white and 2 black balls, another bag contains 5 white and 3 black balls. If a bag...
One bag contains 3 white and 2 black balls, another bag contains 5 white and 3 black balls. If a bag is chosen at random and a ball is drawn from it, what is the chance that it is white?
3/5
5/8
49/80
1/2
49/80
Solution
Let B1 be the event that the first bag is chosen, and B2 be the event that the second bag is chosen. Let W be the event that a white ball is drawn.
The first bag contains 3 white and 2 black balls, so there are a total of 3+2=5 balls. The second bag contains 5 white and 3 black balls, so there are a total of 5+3=8 balls.
Since a bag is chosen at random, the probability of choosing either bag is equal: P(B1)=21 P(B2)=21
The probability of drawing a white ball given that the first bag was chosen is: P(W∣B1)=Total balls in Bag 1Number of white balls in Bag 1=53
The probability of drawing a white ball given that the second bag was chosen is: P(W∣B2)=Total balls in Bag 2Number of white balls in Bag 2=85
Using the Law of Total Probability, the overall probability of drawing a white ball is given by: P(W)=P(W∣B1)P(B1)+P(W∣B2)P(B2)
Substituting the values: P(W)=(53)×(21)+(85)×(21) P(W)=103+165
To add these fractions, we find a common denominator, which is 80: P(W)=10×83×8+16×55×5 P(W)=8024+8025 P(W)=8024+25 P(W)=8049