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Question

Mathematics Question on Probability

In probability distribution for discrete variable x = 0,1, 2 ... P(x = x) = k(x + 1).3–x. The probability of P(x≥2) is equal to?

A

518\frac{5}{18}

B

1018\frac{10}{18}

C

2027\frac{20}{27}

D

727\frac{7}{27}

Answer

727\frac{7}{27}

Explanation

Solution

We want to find the probability P(x≥2), which is the sum of probabilities of all values of x greater than or equal to 2. We can write:
P(x≥2) = P(x=2) + P(x=3) + P(x=4) + ...
Substituting the given probability distribution function P(x) = k(x+1).3-x, we get:
P(x≥2) = k(2+1)3-2 + k(3+1)3-3 + k(4+1)3-4 + ...
Simplifying this expression, we get:
P(x≥2) = k9\frac{k}{9}+ k27\frac{k}{27} + k81\frac{k}{81} + ...
This is a geometric series with first term a = k9\frac{k}{9} and common ratio r = 13\frac{1}{3}. The sum of an infinite geometric series with |r|<1 is a/(1-r), so we have:
P(x≥2) = 19(113)\frac{{1}{9}}{(1-\frac{1}{3})} = 3k18\frac{3k}{18} = k6\frac{k}{6}
To find the value of k, we use the fact that the sum of probabilities of all possible values of x must be 1. Therefore, we have:
∑ P(x) = ∑ k(x+1).3-x = 1
Substituting the values of x = 0,1,2,... in this equation and simplifying, we get:
k3\frac{k}{3} + 2k9\frac{2k}{9} + 3k27\frac{3k}{27} + ... = 1
This is also a geometric series with first term a = k3\frac{k}{3} and common ratio r = 13\frac{1}{3}. The sum of an infinite geometric series with |r|<1 is 11r\frac{1}{1-r}, so we have:
k3(113)\frac{{k}{3}}{(1-\frac{1}{3})} = k2\frac{k}{2} = 1
Therefore, k = 2/3. Substituting this value of k in the expression for P(x≥2), we get:
P(x≥2) = 2363\frac{\frac{2}{3}}{\frac{6}{3}} = 19\frac{1}{9}
Therefore, the probability of P(x≥2) is 19\frac{1}{9}. So, the correct option is (D) 727\frac{7}{27}.
**Answer. **D