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Question: In a simultaneous toss of four coins, what is the probability of getting exactly three heads? A. ...

In a simultaneous toss of four coins, what is the probability of getting exactly three heads?
A. 12\dfrac{1}{2}
B. 13\dfrac{1}{3}
C. 14\dfrac{1}{4}
D. None of these

Explanation

Solution

In the given question, we have to find the probability of getting exactly three heads in a total of three tosses. So, we will make use of the multiplication rule of probability to find the probability of two events happening one after another. We will first find the probability of getting a single head on a toss. Then, we will make use of the binomial probability distribution formula to get to the required answer.

Complete step by step answer:
So, we have the number of coin tosses as 44. Number of heads required is 33. When a coin is tossed, the total number of possibilities is 22. Number of favorable possibilities for heads is 11. Hence, the probability of getting a head in a coin toss is Number of favourable outcomesTotal number of outcomes=12\dfrac{{{\text{Number of favourable outcomes}}}}{{{\text{Total number of outcomes}}}} = \dfrac{1}{2}.

Now, we have to find the probability of exactly three heads in four tosses. We know that we can choose three out of four tosses in 4C3^4{C_3} ways. Also, the probability of getting head in a toss is 12\dfrac{1}{2}. Probability of getting a tail in a toss is 12\dfrac{1}{2}.So, we get the required probability getting two heads out of three tosses as (4C3)×(12)3×(12)\left( {^4{C_3}} \right) \times {\left( {\dfrac{1}{2}} \right)^3} \times \left( {\dfrac{1}{2}} \right) using the binomial probability distribution.

So, we get, required probability =(4C3)×(12)3×(12) = \left( {^4{C_3}} \right) \times {\left( {\dfrac{1}{2}} \right)^3} \times \left( {\dfrac{1}{2}} \right)
We know the combination formula nCr=n!r!(nr)!^n{C_r} = \dfrac{{n!}}{{r!\left( {n - r} \right)!}}. So, we get,
4×(18)×(12)4 \times \left( {\dfrac{1}{8}} \right) \times \left( {\dfrac{1}{2}} \right)
Computing the product, we get,
14\dfrac{1}{4}

So, we get the probability of getting exactly three heads in four coin tosses is (14)\left( {\dfrac{1}{4}} \right).

Hence, the correct answer is the option C.

Note: We must know the multiplication rule of probability for finding probability of the events happening one after another. One should know the applications of simplification rules to simplify the calculations. We should remember the combination formula nCr=n!r!(nr)!^n{C_r} = \dfrac{{n!}}{{r!\left( {n - r} \right)!}} to evaluate the number of ways of choosing two out of five attempts.