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Question

Mathematics Question on Probability

In a game, a man wins Rs. 100100 if he gets 55 of 66 on a throw of a fair die and loses Rs. 5050 for getting any other number on the die. If he decides to throw the die either till he gets a five or a six or to a maximum of three throws, then his expected gain/ loss (in rupees) is :

A

4003\frac{400}{3} gain

B

4003\frac{400}{3} loss

C

00

D

4009\frac{400}{9} loss

Answer

00

Explanation

Solution

Expected Gain/ Loss =
= w ? 100 + Lw (-50 + 100) + L2^2w (-50 -50 + 100) + L3^3 (-150)
=13×100+23.13(50)+(23)2(13)(0)+(23)3(150)=0= \frac{1}{3} \times 100 + \frac{2}{3} . \frac{1}{3}(50) \, + \bigg(\frac{2}{3}\bigg)^2 \, \bigg(\frac{1}{3}\bigg) (0) + \bigg(\frac{2}{3}\bigg)^3 (-150) = 0
here w denotes probability that outcome 55 or 6464 (
ww = 26=13)\frac{2}{6} \, = \, \frac{1}{3})
here L denotes probability that outcome
1,2,3,4(L=46=23)1,2,3,4 (L= \frac{4}{6} = \frac{2}{3})