Question
Mathematics Question on Probability
In a game, a man wins Rs. 100 if he gets 5 of 6 on a throw of a fair die and loses Rs. 50 for getting any other number on the die. If he decides to throw the die either till he gets a five or a six or to a maximum of three throws, then his expected gain/ loss (in rupees) is :
A
3400 gain
B
3400 loss
C
0
D
9400 loss
Answer
0
Explanation
Solution
Expected Gain/ Loss =
= w ? 100 + Lw (-50 + 100) + L2w (-50 -50 + 100) + L3 (-150)
=31×100+32.31(50)+(32)2(31)(0)+(32)3(−150)=0
here w denotes probability that outcome 5 or 64 (
w = 62=31)
here L denotes probability that outcome
1,2,3,4(L=64=32)