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Question: In a combat b/n 3 persons A, B, C the probabilities of A, B, C shooting at the target are 0.3, 0.5, ...

In a combat b/n 3 persons A, B, C the probabilities of A, B, C shooting at the target are 0.3, 0.5, 1. They will get the gun in the order A, B, C, A, B, C .... Every person targets to hit the relatively dangerous person and the combat continues until one person is left unhit. Then probability that A is left unhit. (If a person is lit, he is out of combat)

A

9/130

B

693/2600

C

9/130 + 693/2600

D

9/2600

Answer

9/130 + 693/2600

Explanation

Solution

(i) If A hits C then,

= (0.3) (0.5) [P1 + P3 + P5 + .........

= (0.15) [0.3 + (0.7) (0.5) (0.3) + ........]

= (0.15) [0.310.35]=0.15×0.30.65=9130\left[ \frac { 0.3 } { 1 - 0.35 } \right] = \frac { 0.15 \times 0.3 } { 0.65 } = \frac { 9 } { 130 }

ii) If A does not hit C,

= (0.7) [(0.5) (P1 + P3 + P5 + .....) + 0.3 x 0.5]

= 0.35 [913+310]=720×60+39130=6932600\left[ \frac { 9 } { 13 } + \frac { 3 } { 10 } \right] = \frac { 7 } { 20 } \times \frac { 60 + 39 } { 130 } = \frac { 693 } { 2600 }

Required probability = 9130+6932600\frac { 9 } { 130 } + \frac { 693 } { 2600 }.