Question
Mathematics Question on Bayes' Theorem
In a certain town, 60% of the families own a car, 30%own a house and 20% own both a car and a house. If a family is randomly chosen, what is the probability that this family owns a car or a house but not both ?
A
0.5
B
0.7
C
0.1
D
0.9
Answer
0.5
Explanation
Solution
Let A be the set of families who own a car and B
be the set of families who own a house.
Then, P(A)=60%,P(B)=30%
and P(A∩B)=20%
Now, P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B)
=60+30−20=70%
Now, families who owns a car or a house but not both =AΔB
⇒P(AΔB)=P(A∪B)−P(A∩B)
=70−20=50%=0.5