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Question: In a binomial distribution with n = 6 and p = 0.5, what is the probability of obtaining exactly 3 su...

In a binomial distribution with n = 6 and p = 0.5, what is the probability of obtaining exactly 3 successes?

A

0.6

B

0.4

C

0.3

D

0.5

Answer

0.3

Explanation

Solution

To find the probability of obtaining exactly 3 successes in a binomial distribution with n = 6 and p = 0.5, we use the binomial probability formula:

P(X=k)=(nk)pk(1p)nkP(X=k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k}

Given:

  • Number of trials, n=6n = 6
  • Probability of success in a single trial, p=0.5p = 0.5
  • Number of successes, k=3k = 3

First, calculate the binomial coefficient (nk)\binom{n}{k}: (63)=6!3!(63)!=6!3!3!=6×5×4×3×2×1(3×2×1)(3×2×1)=6×5×43×2×1=20\binom{6}{3} = \frac{6!}{3!(6-3)!} = \frac{6!}{3!3!} = \frac{6 \times 5 \times 4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1}{(3 \times 2 \times 1)(3 \times 2 \times 1)} = \frac{6 \times 5 \times 4}{3 \times 2 \times 1} = 20

Next, calculate the powers of pp and (1p)(1-p): pk=(0.5)3=0.5×0.5×0.5=0.125p^k = (0.5)^3 = 0.5 \times 0.5 \times 0.5 = 0.125 (1p)nk=(10.5)63=(0.5)3=0.125(1-p)^{n-k} = (1-0.5)^{6-3} = (0.5)^3 = 0.125

Now, substitute these values into the binomial probability formula: P(X=3)=(63)(0.5)3(0.5)3P(X=3) = \binom{6}{3} (0.5)^3 (0.5)^3 P(X=3)=20×0.125×0.125P(X=3) = 20 \times 0.125 \times 0.125 P(X=3)=20×(0.5)6P(X=3) = 20 \times (0.5)^6 P(X=3)=20×0.015625P(X=3) = 20 \times 0.015625 P(X=3)=0.3125P(X=3) = 0.3125

The calculated probability 0.31250.3125 is closest to 0.30.3.