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Question: If events A and B are independent and \(P\left( A \right)=0.15,P\left( A\cup B \right)=0.45\) then \...

If events A and B are independent and P(A)=0.15,P(AB)=0.45P\left( A \right)=0.15,P\left( A\cup B \right)=0.45 then P(B)=P\left( B \right)=
(a)613\dfrac{6}{13}
(b)617\dfrac{6}{17}
(c)619\dfrac{6}{19}
(d)623\dfrac{6}{23}

Explanation

Solution

Hint: Two events A and B will be independent events of the relation between P(A)P\left( A \right) and P(B)P\left( B \right) is given as P(AB)=P(A)P(B)P\left( A\cap B \right)=P\left( A \right)P\left( B \right) .
Now, use the relation among P(A),P(B),P(AB)P\left( A \right),P\left( B \right),P\left( A\cap B \right) and P(AB)P\left( A\cup B \right), which is given as:
P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(AB)P\left( A\cup B \right)=P\left( A \right)+P\left( B \right)-P\left( A\cap B \right) .
Now, put all the known values to the above equation to get the value of P(B)P\left( B \right) .

Complete step-by-step answer:
Here, we are given that A and B are two independent events with the relations
P(A)=0.15P\left( A \right)=0.15 ………………… (1)
P(AB)=0.45P\left( A\cup B \right)=0.45………………. (2)
And hence, we need to determine the value of P(B)P\left( B \right).
Now, as we know A and B can be two independent events if:
P(AB)=P(A)P(B)P\left( A\cap B \right)=P\left( A \right)P\left( B \right)………………………………. (3)
And also, we know the relation among P(A),P(B),P(AB)P\left( A \right),P\left( B \right),P\left( A\cap B \right) and P(AB)P\left( A\cup B \right)is given :
P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(AB)P\left( A\cup B \right)=P\left( A \right)+P\left( B \right)-P\left( A\cap B \right)…………………. (4)
Now, we can use equations (1), (2), (3) to put the values of P(A),P(AB)P\left( A \right),P\left( A\cup B \right) and P(AB)P\left( A\cap B \right) to the equation (4) . So, we get the equation (4) as :
0.45=0.15+P(B)P(A)P(B)0.45=0.15+P\left( B \right)-P\left( A \right)P\left( B \right)
As, we know P(A)=0.15P\left( A \right)=0.15from the equation (1) , so, we can rewrite the above equation as:
0.45=0.15+P(B)0.15P(B)0.45=0.15+P\left( B \right)-0.15P\left( B \right)
Or
0.450.15=P(B)0.15P(B) 0.30=P(B)0.15P(B) \begin{aligned} & 0.45-0.15=P\left( B \right)-0.15P\left( B \right) \\\ & 0.30=P\left( B \right)-0.15P\left( B \right) \\\ \end{aligned}
Now, we can take P(B)P\left( B \right) as common from both the terms of the right hand side of the above equation. So, we get 0.30=P(B)(10.15)0.30=P\left( B \right)\left( 1-0.15 \right)
Or
0.30=P(B)×0.850.30=P\left( B \right)\times 0.85
On dividing the above equation by 0.85, we get:
0.300.85=P(B)×0.850.85\dfrac{0.30}{0.85}=P\left( B \right)\times \dfrac{0.85}{0.85}
Or P(B)=0.300.85P\left( B \right)=\dfrac{0.30}{0.85}
On multiplying the denominator and numerator by 100, we get:
P(B)=0.300.85×100100=3085 P(B)=617 \begin{aligned} & P\left( B \right)=\dfrac{0.30}{0.85}\times \dfrac{100}{100}=\dfrac{30}{85} \\\ & P\left( B \right)=\dfrac{6}{17} \\\ \end{aligned}
Hence, we get P(B)=617P\left( B \right)=\dfrac{6}{17} . So, option (b) is the correct answer of the problem.

Note: One may use Venn diagram for the relation P(A)P\left( A \right) and P(B)P\left( B \right) as:

x+y=P(A) y+z=P(B) y=P(AB) x+y+z=P(AB) \begin{aligned} & x+y=P\left( A \right) \\\ & y+z=P\left( B \right) \\\ & y=P\left( A\cap B \right) \\\ & x+y+z=P\left( A\cup B \right) \\\ \end{aligned}
Writing P(AB)=P(A)P(B)P\left( A\cap B \right)=P\left( A \right)P\left( B \right) is the key point of the problem as A and B are independent events i.e. events A or B are not depending on each other.