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Question: If \(C,D\) are two events such that \(C \subset D\) and \(P(D) \ne 0\), then correct statement among...

If C,DC,D are two events such that CDC \subset D and P(D)0P(D) \ne 0, then correct statement among the following is:
A. P(CD)=P(C)P\left( {\dfrac{C}{D}} \right) = P(C)
B. P(CD)P(C)P\left( {\dfrac{C}{D}} \right) \geqslant P(C)
C. P(CD)<P(C)P\left( {\dfrac{C}{D}} \right) < P(C)
D. P(CD)=P(D)P(C)P\left( {\dfrac{C}{D}} \right) = \dfrac{{P(D)}}{{P(C)}}

Explanation

Solution

We are given that C,DC,D are two events such that CDC \subset D andP(D)0P(D) \ne 0.In order to solve the question, we can clearly see from options that conditional probability is included.So, we consider the conditional probability P(CD)P\left( {\dfrac{C}{D}} \right) and then use CDC \subset D, which is given.

Complete step-by-step answer:
In this question, we are given that C,DC,D are two events such that CDC \subset D and P(D)0P(D) \ne 0.
Now from the question, we know that we need to find a conditional probability.
We know that if AA and BB, are any two events then probability of AA, when BB has already occurred is conditional probability-
P(AB)=P(AB)P(B)P\left( {\dfrac{{\text{A}}}{{\text{B}}}} \right) = \dfrac{{P({\text{A}} \cap {\text{B}})}}{{P({\text{B}})}}.
Hence from above we can see that to find conditional probability we need to find the probability of intersection of that event.
So, to find conditional probability P(CD)P\left( {\dfrac{C}{D}} \right), we firstly find the probability of intersection of C,DC,D.
Now to find the probability of intersection of C,DC,D we will use CDC \subset D
Now firstly consider that,
CDC \subset D and therefore, we can write that using the given Venn diagram-

CD=CC \cap D = C
Now taking probability on both the sides we get
P(CD)=P(C)P(C \cap D) = P(C) (1) - - - - - (1)
Now we consider the conditional probability P(CD)P\left( {\dfrac{C}{D}} \right)
We also know using the definition of conditional probability
We know that if AA and BB, are any two events then probability of AA, when BB has already occurred is conditional probability-
P(AB)=P(AB)P(B)P\left( {\dfrac{{\text{A}}}{{\text{B}}}} \right) = \dfrac{{P({\text{A}} \cap {\text{B}})}}{{P({\text{B}})}}.(2) - - - - (2)
Now substituting events C,DC,D in (2), we get
P(CD)P\left( {\dfrac{C}{D}} \right) =P(CD)P(D) = \dfrac{{P(C \cap D)}}{{P(D)}} (3) - - - - (3)
Now substituting the value of P(CD)P(C \cap D) from (1) in (3), we get,
P(CD)P\left( {\dfrac{C}{D}} \right) =P(C)P(D) = \dfrac{{P(C)}}{{P(D)}} (3) - - - - - (3)
Now we also know that for any event A{\text{A}}, then
0P(A)10 \leqslant P(A) \leqslant 1
Now we are given that D is a eventD{\text{ is a event}} and therefore we can say that
0<P(D)1,P(D)00 < P(D) \leqslant 1,P(D) \ne 0
We can also write that-
P(D)1\Rightarrow P(D) \leqslant 1
Taking reciprocal on both the sides, we get
1P(D)1\dfrac{1}{{P(D)}} \geqslant 1, it is defined because we are given that P(D)0P(D) \ne 0
Now multiplying P(C)P(C) on both the sides, we get,
(P(C)P(D))\left( {\dfrac{{P(C)}}{{P(D)}}} \right) P(C) \geqslant P(C)
Now substituting value of (P(C)P(D))\left( {\dfrac{{P(C)}}{{P(D)}}} \right) in (3), we get,
P(CD)P\left( {\dfrac{C}{D}} \right) P(C) \geqslant P(C)

So, the correct answer is “Option B”.

Note: In this question, we are given that CDC \subset D and we can write it as CD=CC \cap D = C by using the venn diagram.Also, we can say that if CDC \subset D, then we get that P(C)P(D)P(C) \subset P(D).Now we can also write that P(CD)=P(C)P(C \cap D) = P(C).So, in this way we can solve this question.Generally, students are not able to think about using this inequality 0P(A)10 \leqslant P(A) \leqslant 1 , So we should always remember that if in questions of probability, any inequality is involved, then we must use this 0P(A)10 \leqslant P(A) \leqslant 1.