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Question: From 4 children, 2 women and 4 men, 4 persons are selected. The probability that there are exactly 2...

From 4 children, 2 women and 4 men, 4 persons are selected. The probability that there are exactly 2 children among the selected is
A) 17\dfrac{1}{7}
B) 27\dfrac{2}{7}
C) 47\dfrac{4}{7}
D) 37\dfrac{3}{7}

Explanation

Solution

We will find the total outcomes and the favourable outcomes using the formula for combination. We will find the probability by using the formula for probability. We will cancel out the common factors (if there are any) and finally choose the correct option.

Formula used: We will use the following formulas:
The number of ways of selecting rr objects from a set of nn objects is nCr{}^n{C_r}
The formula for nCr{}^n{C_r} is nCr=n!(nr)!r!{}^n{C_r} = \dfrac{{n!}}{{\left( {n - r} \right)!r!}}
The formula for probability (P) is given by P=P = number of favourable outcomes ÷\div total number of outcomes.

Complete step by step solution:
There are 4 children, 2 women and 4 men. We will find the total number of people.
Total number of people =4+2+4=10 = 4 + 2 + 4 = 10
There are 10 people in total. We will find the total number of ways in which 4 people can be selected from 10 people.
Substituting 4 for rr and 10 for nn in nCr{}^n{C_r}, we get
10C4=10!(104)!4!{}^{10}{C_4} = \dfrac{{10!}}{{\left( {10 - 4} \right)!4!}}
Computing the factorial, we get
10C4=10×9×8×7×6!6!4!\Rightarrow {}^{10}{C_4} = \dfrac{{10 \times 9 \times 8 \times 7 \times 6!}}{{6!4!}}
Simplifying the terms, we get
10C4=10×9×8×724 10C4=210\begin{array}{l} \Rightarrow {}^{10}{C_4} = \dfrac{{10 \times 9 \times 8 \times 7}}{{24}}\\\ \Rightarrow {}^{10}{C_4} = 210\end{array}
There are 210 ways in which 4 people can be selected from 10 people. So, the total number of outcomes is 210.
We want to select exactly 2 children. We will substitute 2 for rr and 4 for nn in nCr{}^n{C_r}to find the number of ways in which 2 children can be selected out of 4 children.
Therefore,
4C2=4!(42)!2!{}^4{C_2} = \dfrac{{4!}}{{\left({4-2}\right)!2!}}
Computing the factorial, we get
4C2=242×2 4C2=6\begin{array}{l} \Rightarrow {}^4{C_2} = \dfrac{{24}}{{2 \times 2}}\\\ \Rightarrow {}^4{C_2} = 6\end{array}
There are 6 ways in which exactly 2 children can be selected from 4 children.
We have to select 4 persons out of which 2 should be children. The rest 2 can be men or women. There are 2 women and 4 men. We will find the number of ways of selecting 2 people from 6 people.
Substituting 2 for rr and 6 for nn in nCr{}^n{C_r}, we get
6C2=6!(62)!2!\Rightarrow {}^6{C_2} = \dfrac{{6!}}{{\left( {6 - 2} \right)!2!}}
Computing the factorial, we get
6C2=72024×2 6C2=15\begin{array}{l} \Rightarrow {}^6{C_2} = \dfrac{{720}}{{24 \times 2}}\\\ \Rightarrow {}^6{C_2} = 15\end{array}
The total number of ways of selecting 4 people such that exactly 2 children are selected is:
6×15=90\Rightarrow 6 \times 15 = 90
So, the number of favourable outcomes is 90.
We will find the probability by substituting 90 in the numerator and 210 in the denominator in the formula for probability. So,
P=90210P = \dfrac{{90}}{{210}}
Breaking the terms, we get
P=3×307×30 P=37\begin{array}{l} \Rightarrow P = \dfrac{{3 \times 30}}{{7 \times 30}}\\\ \Rightarrow P = \dfrac{3}{7}\end{array}

\therefore Option D is the correct option.

Note:
We must know that the formula for combination (nCr{}^n{C_r}) is used in cases where the order of selection does not matter whereas in cases where the order of selection also matters, we should use the formula for permutations. The formula for permutations is given by nPr=n!(nr)!{}^n{P_r} = \dfrac{{n!}}{{\left( {n - r} \right)!}} where nn is the total number of objects and rr is the number of objects to be selected.