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Question: Four fair dice \(D_1\), \(D_2\), \(D_3\), \(D_4\) each having faces numbered 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6 are...

Four fair dice D1D_1, D2D_2, D3D_3, D4D_4 each having faces numbered 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6 are rolled simultaneously. The probability that D4D_4 shows a number appearing on one of D1D_1, D2D_2, D3D_3 is
A) 91216\dfrac{{91}}{{216}}
B) 108216\dfrac{{108}}{{216}}
C) 125216\dfrac{{125}}{{216}}
D) 127216\dfrac{{127}}{{216}}

Explanation

Solution

You’re adding up three probabilities of events that aren’t disjoint. D4 could show the same number as both D1 and D2, and you’re counting that possibility twice. Try using the inclusion-exclusion principle.
As one of the dice shows a number appearing on one of P1,P2 and P3
Thus, three cases arise.
All show the same number.
Number appearing on D4D_4 appears on any one of D1D_1, D2D_2 and D3D_3
Number appearing on D4D_4 appears on any two of D1D_1, D2D_2 and D3D_3

Complete step-by-step answer:
Sample space = 6 × 6 × 6 ×6 = 64 = {\text{ }}6{\text{ }} \times {\text{ }}6{\text{ }} \times {\text{ }}6{\text{ }} \times 6{\text{ }} = {\text{ }}{{\text{6}}^4}favourable events
= Case I or Case II or Case III
Case I First we should select one number for D4 which appears on all i.e. 6C1  ×  1{}^6{C_1}\; \times \;1
Case II For D4 there are 6C1{}^6{C_1}ways. Now, it appears on any one of D1, D2 and D3 i.e., 3C1  ×  1{}^3{C_1}\; \times \;1.
For the other two there are 5 x 5 ways. =6C1×3C1  ×  5  ×  5 = {}^6{C_1} \times {}^3{C_1}\; \times \;5\; \times \;5
Case III For D4 there are 6C1{}^6{C_1}ways now it appears on any two of D1D_1, D2D_2 and D3D_3 =3C2  ×  12 = {}^3{C_2}\; \times \;{1^2}
For other one there are 5 ways =6C1×3C2  ×  12  ×  5 = {}^6{C_1} \times {}^3{C_2}\; \times \;{1^2}\; \times \;5
Thus, probability =6C1+6C1×3C1  ×5  ×  5+6C1×3C2  ×  564 = \dfrac{{{}^6{C_1} + {}^6{C_1} \times {}^3{C_1}\; \times 5\; \times \;5 + {}^6{C_1} \times {}^3{C_2}\; \times \;5}}{{{6^4}}}
=6+6×3  ×  5  ×  5+6×3  ×  564= \dfrac{{6 + 6 \times 3\; \times \;5\; \times \;5 + 6 \times 3\; \times \;5}}{{{6^4}}}
=6+6×75+6×1564=91216= \dfrac{{6 + 6 \times 75 + 6 \times 15}}{{{6^4}}} = \dfrac{{91}}{{216}}

So, option (A) is the correct answer.

Note: Probability of occurrence of Event 'E'
P(E)=No.  of  favourable  outcomesTotal  No.  of  outcomesP(E) = \dfrac{{No.\;of\;favourable\;outcomes}}{{Total\;No.\;of\;outcomes}}
Sum of Probabilities = 1, n(S) = 1
• Total No. of Outcomes when 'n' dice are rolled = 6n6^n
• P(at least k times occurrence of Event E) = 1 - P(None of the times Event E occurs)