Question
Mathematics Question on Conditional Probability
Five letters are placed at random in five addressed envelopes. The probability that all the letters are not dispatched in the respective right envelopes is
54
120119
1201
51
120119
Solution
Let's consider the first letter. The probability that it is not placed in the correct envelope is 54 since there are 4 envelopes remaining and only 1 of them is the correct envelope.
Now, let's move on to the second letter. The probability that it is not placed in the correct envelope depends on two cases: either the first letter was placed in the correct envelope, or it was not.
Case 1: The first letter was placed in the correct envelope. In this case, the second letter has 4 envelopes remaining, and there is only 1 correct envelope for it. So the probability of the second letter not being placed in the correct envelope is 41.
Case 2: The first letter was not placed in the correct envelope. In this case, the second letter has 4 envelopes remaining, but none of them is the correct envelope for it. So the probability of the second letter not being placed in the correct envelope is 44 = 1.
Since these two cases are mutually exclusive (they cannot happen at the same time), we can add their probabilities:
Probability of the second letter not being placed correctly = 51 x 41 + 54 x (1) = 201 + 54 = 209.
We can continue this process for the remaining letters:
Probability of the third letter not being placed correctly = 51 x 31 + 54 x 209 = 151 + 10036 = 10021.
Probability of the fourth letter not being placed correctly = 51 x 21 + 54 x 10021 = 101 + 10084 = 5019
Probability of the fifth letter not being placed correctly = 51 x 11 + 54 x 5019 = 51 + 51 = 2511.
Now, we multiply these probabilities together to find the probability that all the letters are not dispatched in the respective right envelopes:
Probability = 54 x 209 x 10021 x 5019 x 2511 = 120119.
Therefore, the correct answer is option (B) 120119.