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Question

Mathematics Question on Conditional Probability

Eight coins are thrown simultaneously. What is the probability of getting atleast 33 heads?

A

37246\frac{37}{246}

B

21256\frac{21}{256}

C

219256\frac{219}{256}

D

19246\frac{19}{246}

Answer

219256\frac{219}{256}

Explanation

Solution

Throwing of eight coins simultaneously is the same as throwing of one coin 88 times. When a coin is thrown, the probability of getting a head, p=12p = \frac{1}{2}, q=112=12\therefore q= 1-\frac{1}{2}=\frac{1}{2} As the coin is thrown 88 times, so there are 88 trials. Thus, we have a binomial distribution with p=12p = \frac{1}{2}, q=12q=\frac{1}{2} and n=8n = 8. Probability of getting atleast 33 heads =P(X3)= P\left(X \ge 3\right) =1(P(0)+P(1)+P(2))= 1-\left(P\left(0\right) + P\left(1\right) + P\left(2\right)\right) =1[8C0+(12)8+8C1(12)(12)7+8C2(12)2(12)6]=1-\left[\,^{8}C_{0}+\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{8}+\,^{8}C_{1}\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{7}+\,^{8}C_{2}\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{2}\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{6}\right] =1(8C0+8C1+8C2)(12)8= 1-\left(^{8}C_{0}+\,^{8}C_{1}+\,^{8}C_{2}\right)\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{8} =1(1+8+28)×1256= 1 - \left( 1 + 8 + 28\right)\times\frac{1}{256} =137256=219256= 1-\frac{37}{256} = \frac{219}{256}