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Question

Mathematics Question on Conditional Probability

Bag AA contains 66 Green and 88 Red balls and bag BB contains 99 Green and 55 Red balls. A card is drawn at random from a well shuffled pack of 5252 playing cards. If it is a spade, two balls are drawn at random from bag AA, otherwise two balls are drawn at random from bag BB. If the two balls drawn are found to be of the same colour, then the probability that they are drawn from bag AA is

A

43181\frac{43}{181}

B

14\frac{1}{4}

C

48131\frac{48}{131}

D

43138\frac{43}{138}

Answer

43181\frac{43}{181}

Explanation

Solution

According to given informations, the required probability
=14(6C2+8C214C2)14(6C2+8C214C2)+34(9C2+5C214C2)=\frac{\frac{1}{4}\left(\frac{{ }^{6} C_{2}+{ }^{8} C_{2}}{{ }^{14} C_{2}}\right)}{\frac{1}{4}\left(\frac{{ }^{6} C_{2}+{ }^{8} C_{2}}{{ }^{14} C_{2}}\right)+\frac{3}{4}\left(\frac{{ }^{9} C_{2}+{ }^{5} C_{2}}{{ }^{14} C_{2}}\right)}
=(6×5)+(8×7)[(6×5)+(8×7)]+3[(9×8)+(5×4)]=\frac{(6 \times 5)+(8 \times 7)}{[(6 \times 5)+(8 \times 7)]+3[(9 \times 8)+(5 \times 4)]}
=30+56(30+56)+3(72+20)=8686+276=\frac{30+56}{(30+56)+3(72+20)}=\frac{86}{86+276}
=86362=43181=\frac{86}{362}=\frac{43}{181}