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Question

Mathematics Question on Conditional Probability

At a telephone enquiry system the number of phone calls regarding relevant enquiry follow Poisson distribution with an average of 5 phone calls during 10 minute time intervals. The probability that there is at the most one phone call during a 10-minute time period is

A

65e\frac{6}{5^e}

B

56\frac{5}{6}

C

655\frac{6}{55}

D

6e5\frac{6}{e^5}

Answer

6e5\frac{6}{e^5}

Explanation

Solution

P(X=r)=emmrr!P\left(X =r\right) = \frac{e^{-m}m^{r}}{r!} P (at most 1 phone call) =P(X1)=P(X=0)+P(X=1)= P\left(X \le 1\right) = P\left(X = 0\right) + P\left(X = 1\right) =e5+5×e5=6e5= e^{-5} + 5 \times e^{-5} = \frac{6}{e^{5}}