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Question: An article manufactured by a company consists of two parts X and y. In the process of manufacturing ...

An article manufactured by a company consists of two parts X and y. In the process of manufacturing the part X, 9 out of 100 parts may be effective. Similarly, 5 out of 100 are likely to be defective in part Y. Calculate the probability that the assembled product will not be defective.

Explanation

Solution

Assume ‘A’ as the event of getting defective part X and ‘B’ as the event of getting defective part Y. Find their probability by using the given information. Now, use the formula: - P(X)=1P(X)P\left( \overline{X} \right)=1-P\left( X \right), to get the values of P(A)P\left( \overline{A} \right) and P(B)P\left( \overline{B} \right), which are the probabilities of getting non – defective part X and Y respectively. Take the product of P(A)P\left( \overline{A} \right) and P(B)P\left( \overline{B} \right) to calculate the probability that the assembled part will not be defective.

Complete step-by-step solution:
Here, let us assume the following things: -
A = Event of getting defective part X.
B = Event of getting defective part Y.
Now, it is given in the question that we get 9 out of 100 parts are defective in X and 5 out of 100 parts are defective in Y. Therefore, probabilities of getting defective part in X and Y can be given as: -

& \Rightarrow P\left( A \right)=\dfrac{9}{100} \\\ & \Rightarrow P\left( B \right)=\dfrac{5}{100} \\\ \end{aligned}$$ Here, we have to find the probability that the assembled product will not be defective. Since, the assembled product will be a combination of both parts X and Y, so for the assembled product to be non – defective we must have both the parts X and Y non – defective. Therefore, we have, $$\Rightarrow P\left( \overline{A} \right)$$ = probability of getting non – defective part X = $$1-P\left( A \right)$$ $$\begin{aligned} & \Rightarrow P\left( \overline{A} \right)=1-P\left( A \right) \\\ & \Rightarrow P\left( \overline{A} \right)=1-\dfrac{9}{100} \\\ & \Rightarrow P\left( \overline{A} \right)=\dfrac{91}{100} \\\ \end{aligned}$$ $$\Rightarrow $$$$P\left( \overline{B} \right)$$ = probability of getting non – defective part Y = $$1-P\left( B \right)$$ $$\Rightarrow P\left( \overline{B} \right)=1-\dfrac{5}{100}$$ $$\Rightarrow P\left( \overline{B} \right)=\dfrac{95}{100}$$ Now, the event that both the parts will be non – defective will be represented as $$\overline{A}\cap \overline{B}$$. Therefore, the probability be given as $$P\left( \overline{A}\cap \overline{B} \right)$$. Since, both $$\overline{A}$$ and $$\overline{B}$$ are independent of each other, therefore, we have, $$\Rightarrow P\left( \overline{A}\cap \overline{B} \right)=P\left( \overline{A} \right)\times P\left( \overline{B} \right)$$ Substituting the values of $$P\left( \overline{A} \right)$$ and $$P\left( \overline{B} \right)$$, we get, $$\begin{aligned} & \Rightarrow P\left( \overline{A}\cap \overline{B} \right)=\dfrac{91}{100}\times \dfrac{95}{100} \\\ & \Rightarrow P\left( \overline{A}\cap \overline{B} \right)=\dfrac{8645}{10000} \\\ & \Rightarrow P\left( \overline{A}\cap \overline{B} \right)=0.8645 \\\ \end{aligned}$$ **Hence, the probability that the assembled product will be non – defective is 0.8645.** **Note:** One may note that for a product to be non – defective, all its part must be non – defective and that is why we have taken the intersection of the events $$\overline{A}$$ and $$\overline{B}$$. Note that the formula, $$P\left( \overline{A}\cap \overline{B} \right)=P\left( \overline{A} \right)\times P\left( \overline{B} \right)$$ is used above because the events $$\overline{A}$$ and $$\overline{B}$$ does not depend on each other. One of the most important formulas that must be remembered to solve the above question is, $$P\left( \overline{X} \right)=1-P\left( X \right)$$.