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Question

Mathematics Question on Probability

A urn contains 5 red and 5 black balls.A ball is drawn at random,its colour is noted and is returned to the urn.Morever,2 additional balls of the colour drawn are put in the urn and then a ball is drawn at random.What is the probability that the second ball is red?

Answer

The correct answer is: 12\frac{1}{2}
The urn contains 5 red and 5 black balls.
Let a red ball be drawn in the first attempt.
P (drawing a red ball)=510=12=\frac{5}{10}=\frac{1}{2}
If two red balls are added to the urn, then the urn contains 7 red and 5 black balls.
P (drawing a red ball)=712=\frac{7}{12}
Let a black ball be drawn in the first attempt
P (drawing a black ball in the first attempt)=510=12=\frac{5}{10}=\frac{1}{2}
If two black balls are added to the urn, then the urn contains 5 red and 7 black balls.
P (drawing a red ball)=512=\frac{5}{12}
Therefore, probability of drawing second ball as red is
12×712+12×512=12(712+512)=12×1=12\frac{1}{2}\times \frac{7}{12}+\frac{1}{2}\times \frac{5}{12}=\frac{1}{2}(\frac{7}{12}+\frac{5}{12})=\frac{1}{2}\times 1=\frac{1}{2}