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Question

Mathematics Question on Probability

A student appears for tests I, II and III. The student is successful if he passes either in tests I and II or tests I and III. The probabilities of the student passing in tests I, II and III are p, q and 12\frac{1}{2} respectively. If the probability th at the student is successful, is 12\frac{1}{2} then

A

p = q = 1

B

p = q = 12\frac{1}{2}

C

p = 1, q = 0

D

p = 1 , q = 12\frac{1}{2}

Answer

p = 1, q = 0

Explanation

Solution

Let A, B and C denote the events of passing the tests I,
II and III, respectively.
Evidently A, B and C are independent events.
According to given condition,
12=P[(AB)(AB)]\frac{1}{2}=P[(A \cap B)\cup (A \cap B)]
=P(AB)+P(AC)P(ABC)=P(A \cap B)+P(A \cap C)-P(A \cap B \cap C)
= P {A) P(B) + P(A) . P(C) - P(A) . P(B) . P(C)
=pq+p 12p12\frac{1}{2}-p\frac{1}{2}
\Rightarrow \, 1=2 p q + p - p q \Rightarrow \, 1 = p(q + 1) \, \, \, \, \, \, \, \, \, \, \, \, ....(i)
The values of option (c) satisfy E (i).
[ Infact, E (i) is satisfied for infinite number of values of p and If we take any values of q such that 0q1.0 \le q \le 1.
then, p takes the value 1q+1\frac{1}{q+1} It is evident that,
0<1q+11i.e.,0<p10 < \frac{1}{q+1} \le 1 \, i.e., 0 < p \le 1 But we have to choose correct answer from given ones.]