Question
Mathematics Question on Conditional Probability
A speaks truth in 75% and B in 80% of the cases. In what percentage of cases are they likely to contradict each other narrating the same incident ?
A
0.35
B
0.45
C
0.15
D
0.05
Answer
0.35
Explanation
Solution
P(A)=10075=43,P(B)=10080=54 ⇒P(Aˉ)=1−P(A) and P(Bˉ)=1−P(B) ⇒P(Aˉ)=1−43=41 and P(Bˉ)=1−54=51 Now, prob. (contradict to each other) =P(ABˉorAˉB)=P(ABˉ)+P(AˉB) =P(A)P(Bˉ)+P(Aˉ)P(B)=43.51+41.54 ⇒P(ABˉorAˉB)=207 ∴%