Question
Mathematics Question on Probability
A fair die is thrown until the number 2 appears. What is the probability that 2 appears in an even number of throws?
65
61
115
116
115
Solution
Define the Probability of Success and Failure:
- The probability of rolling a 2 on any single throw is 61.
- The probability of not rolling a 2 is 65.
Calculate the Required Probability:
For a 2 to appear in an even number of throws, we consider the probabilities that it first appears on the 2nd, 4th, 6th, etc., throw. The probability of 2 appearing on the 2n-th throw (even throws) is:
(65)2n−1×61
The required probability is an infinite series:
65×61+(65)3×61+(65)5×61+…
Summing the Series:
This is a geometric series with the first term 65×61=365 and common ratio (65)2=3625. The sum of an infinite geometric series is given by:
Sum=1−common ratiofirst term=1−3625365=3611365=115
So, the correct option is: 115