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Question

Mathematics Question on Probability

A fair die is thrown until the number 2 appears. What is the probability that 2 appears in an even number of throws?

A

56\frac{5}{6}

B

16\frac{1}{6}

C

511\frac{5}{11}

D

611\frac{6}{11}

Answer

511\frac{5}{11}

Explanation

Solution

Define the Probability of Success and Failure:
- The probability of rolling a 2 on any single throw is 16\frac{1}{6}.
- The probability of not rolling a 2 is 56\frac{5}{6}.

Calculate the Required Probability:
For a 2 to appear in an even number of throws, we consider the probabilities that it first appears on the 2nd, 4th, 6th, etc., throw. The probability of 2 appearing on the 2n2n-th throw (even throws) is:
(56)2n1×16\left( \frac{5}{6} \right)^{2n-1} \times \frac{1}{6}
The required probability is an infinite series:
56×16+(56)3×16+(56)5×16+\frac{5}{6} \times \frac{1}{6} + \left( \frac{5}{6} \right)^3 \times \frac{1}{6} + \left( \frac{5}{6} \right)^5 \times \frac{1}{6} + \dots

Summing the Series:
This is a geometric series with the first term 56×16=536\frac{5}{6} \times \frac{1}{6} = \frac{5}{36} and common ratio (56)2=2536\left( \frac{5}{6} \right)^2 = \frac{25}{36}. The sum of an infinite geometric series is given by:
Sum=first term1common ratio=53612536=5361136=511\text{Sum} = \frac{\text{first term}}{1 - \text{common ratio}} = \frac{\frac{5}{36}}{1 - \frac{25}{36}} = \frac{\frac{5}{36}}{\frac{11}{36}} = \frac{5}{11}
So, the correct option is: 511\frac{5}{11}