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Question

Mathematics Question on Probability

A die is thrown 6 times. If 'getting an odd number' is a success, what is the probability of:
(i) 5 successes ?
(ii) at least 5 successes ?
(iii) at most 5 successes ?

Answer

The repeated tosses of a die are Bernoulli trials. Let X denote the number of successes of getting odd numbers in an experiment of 6 trials.
Probability of getting an odd number in a single throw of a die is, p=36=12p=\frac{3}{6}=\frac{1}{2}
q=1p=12\therefore q = 1-p=\frac{1}{2}
X has a binomial distribution.
Therefore, P (X = x) = nCnxqnxpx,wheren=0,1,2...n^{n}C_{n-x}q^{n-x}p^x, where n = 0,1,2...n

=6Cx(12)6x.(12)x=^{6}C_{x}\bigg(\frac{1}{2}\bigg)^{6-x}.\bigg(\frac{1}{2}\bigg)^x

=6Cx(12)6= ^6C_x\bigg(\frac{1}{2}\bigg)^6
(i) P (5 successes) = P (X = 5)

=6C5(12)6= ^6C_5\bigg(\frac{1}{2}\bigg)^6

=6.164= 6.\frac{1}{64}

=332=\frac{3}{32}


(ii) P(at least 5 successes) = P(X ≥ 5)
= P(X=5)+P(X=6)

=6C5(12)6+6C6(12)6=^6C_5\bigg(\frac{1}{2}\bigg)^6+^6C_6\bigg(\frac{1}{2}\bigg)^6

=6.164+1.164=6.\frac{1}{64}+1.\frac{1}{64}

=764=\frac{7}{64}


(iii) P (at most 5 successes) = P(X ≤ 5)
= 1-P(X>5)
=1-P(X=6)
=1- 6C6(12)6^6C_6\bigg(\frac{1}{2}\bigg)^6

= 1- 164\frac{1}{64}

=6364=\frac{63}{64}