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Question: A contest consists of predicting the results win, draw or defeat of 7 football matches. A sent his e...

A contest consists of predicting the results win, draw or defeat of 7 football matches. A sent his entry by predicting at random. The probability that his entry will contain exactly 4 correct predictions is

A

837\frac { 8 } { 3 ^ { 7 } }

B

1637\frac { 16 } { 3 ^ { 7 } }

C

28037\frac { 280 } { 3 ^ { 7 } }

D

56037\frac { 560 } { 3 ^ { 7 } }

Answer

28037\frac { 280 } { 3 ^ { 7 } }

Explanation

Solution

PP (correct prediction) =13= \frac { 1 } { 3 } ; PP (wrong prediction) =23= \frac { 2 } { 3 }

For exactly 4 right predictions

Probability =7C4(13)4(23)3=28037= { } ^ { 7 } C _ { 4 } \left( \frac { 1 } { 3 } \right) ^ { 4 } \cdot \left( \frac { 2 } { 3 } \right) ^ { 3 } = \frac { 280 } { 3 ^ { 7 } }