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Question

Mathematics Question on Probability

A coin is biased so that the head is 3 times as likely to occur as tail.If the coin is tossed twice,find the probability distribution of number of tails.

Answer

Let the probability of getting a tail in the biased coin be x.

∴ P (T) = x

⇒ P (H) = 3x

For a biased coin, P (T) + P (H) = 1

x+3x=1

⇒ 4x=14\frac{1}{4}

P(T)=14andP(H)=34P(T)=\frac{1}{4} and P(H)=\frac{3}{4}

When the coin is tossed twice, the sample space is {HH, TT, HT, TH}.

Let X be the random variable representing the number of tails.
∴ P (X = 0) = P (no tail) = P (H) × P (H) =34X34=916\frac{3}{4}X\frac{3}{4}=\frac{9}{16}

P (X = 1) = P (one tail) = P (HT) + P (TH)

=34.14+14.34\frac{3}{4}.\frac{1}{4}+\frac{1}{4}.\frac{3}{4}

=316+316\frac{3}{16}+\frac{3}{16}

=38\frac{3}{8}

P (X = 2) = P (two tails) = P (TT) =14X14=116\frac{1}{4}X\frac{1}{4}=\frac{1}{16}

Therefore, the required probability distribution is as follows.

X012
P(X)916\frac{9}{16}38\frac{3}{8}116\frac{1}{16}