Question
Question: A candidate takes 4 tests in succession. The probability that he passes first test is p. And the pro...
A candidate takes 4 tests in succession. The probability that he passes first test is p. And the probability that he passes any successive tests is p or 2p according as he passes or fails in the previous test. He will be qualified only when he passes atleast 3 tests. Then the chance that he will be qualified.
A
B
C
D
(1-p3)
Answer
Explanation
Solution
If p stands for pass and F stands for Fail.
Then required ways, are FPPP, PFPP, PPFP, PPPF, PPPP.
Required probability = (1 – p) 2p x p x p + p x (1 – p) x p + p. p(1 – p) 2p + p.p.p.(1 – p) + p4
= (1 – p) + p3 (1 – p) + p4.