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Question

Question: A biased coin with probability p, 0\<p\<1 of heads is tossed until a head appears for the first tim...

A biased coin with probability p, 0<p<1 of heads is tossed

until a head appears for the first time. If the probability that

the number of tosses required is even is 2/5, then p equals.

A

1/3

B

2/3

C

2/5

D

3/5

Answer

1/3

Explanation

Solution

Let Since head appears first time in an even throw i.e., 2 or 4 or 6 etc.,

\ 2/5 =

Ž 25=qp1q225=(1p)p1(1p)2=1p2p\frac { 2 } { 5 } = \frac { q p } { 1 - q ^ { 2 } } \Rightarrow \frac { 2 } { 5 } = \frac { ( 1 - p ) p } { 1 - ( 1 - p ) ^ { 2 } } = \frac { 1 - p } { 2 - p }

Ž 2(2p)=5(1p)p=1/32 ( 2 - p ) = 5 ( 1 - p ) \Rightarrow p = 1 / 3