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Question

Mathematics Question on Conditional Probability

A bag contains 66 red, 55 blue and 77 white balls. If three balls are drawn one by one (without replacement), then what is the probability that all three balls are blue?

A

3204\frac{3}{204}

B

7408\frac{7}{408}

C

5204\frac{5}{204}

D

5408\frac{5}{408}

Answer

5408\frac{5}{408}

Explanation

Solution

Let AA, BB and CC be events of drawing a red ball in first, second and third draw respectively. Then probability of getting red ball in all three draws P(ABC)=P(A).P(BA).P(CAB)P (A \,\cap\, B \,\cap C ) = P(A). P(B|A). P(C|A\,\cap\,B) Now, P(A)=518P(A) = \frac{5}{18}, P(BA)=417P(B| A) = \frac{4}{17} and P(CAB)=316P (C |A \cap B ) =\frac{3}{16} P(ABC)=P(A).P(BA).P(CAB)\therefore P(A \cap B \cap C) = P(A).P(B|A).P(C|A \cap B) =518×417×316=\frac{5}{18} \times \frac{4}{17} \times \frac{3}{16} =5408= \frac{5}{408}