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Question

Mathematics Question on Probability

A bag contains (2n+1)(2 n+1) coins. It is known that nn of these coins have a head on both sides, whereas the remaining (n+1)(n+1) coins are fair. AA coin is picked up at random from the bag and tossed. If the probability that the toss results in a head is 31/4231 / 42, then nn is equal to

A

10

B

11

C

12

D

13

Answer

10

Explanation

Solution

Total number of coins =2n+1=2 n +1
Consider the following events:
E1=E_{1}= Getting a coin having head on both sides from the bag.
E2=E_{2}= Getting a fair coin from the bag
A=A = Toss results in a head
Given: P(A)=3142,P(E1)=n2n+1P(A)=\frac{31}{42}, P\left(E_{1}\right)=\frac{n}{2 n+1}
and P(E2)=n+12n+1P\left(E_{2}\right)=\frac{n+1}{2 n+1}
Then, P(A)=P(E1)P(AE1)+P(E2)P(A/E2)P(A)=P\left(E_{1}\right) P\left(A E_{1}\right)+P\left(E_{2}\right) P\left(A / E_{2}\right)
3142=n2n+1×1+n+12n+1×12\Rightarrow \frac{31}{42}=\frac{n}{2 n+1} \times 1+\frac{n+1}{2 n+1} \times \frac{1}{2}
3142=n2n+1+n+12(2n+1)\frac{31}{42}=\frac{n}{2 n+1}+\frac{n+1}{2(2 n+1)}
3142=3n+12(2n+1)\Rightarrow \frac{31}{42}=\frac{3 n+1}{2(2 n+1)}
3121=3n+12n+1\Rightarrow \frac{31}{21}=\frac{3 n+1}{2 n+1}
n=10n=10