Question
Mathematics Question on Conditional Probability
A bag contains 12 white pearls and 18 black pearls. Two pearls are drawn in succession without replacement. Find the probability that the first pearl is white and the second is black.
A
14532
B
14328
C
14536
D
14336
Answer
14536
Explanation
Solution
Let A and B be the events of getting a white pearl in the first draw and a black pearl in the second draw. Now P(A)=P(getting a white pearl in the first draw) =3012=52 When second pearl is drawn without replacement, the probability that the second pearl is black is the conditional probability of the event B occurring when A has already occurred. ∴P(B∣A)=2918 By multiplication rule of probability, we have P(A∩B)=P(A).P(B∣A)=52×2918 =14536